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WATERS CORP /DE/ (WAT)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Waters delivered a high‑quality start to FY25: Q1 revenue $661.7M (+4% reported, +7% cc) and non‑GAAP EPS $2.25 landed at the high end of guidance, with double‑digit instrument growth and solid pharma/industrial demand .
- Results modestly beat S&P Global consensus: EPS $2.25 vs $2.22* and revenue $661.7M vs $655.6M*, driven by mid‑teens LC/MS growth and PFAS testing strength; orders grew faster than sales, underscoring momentum .
- Management raised FY25 guidance: cc sales growth to +5%–+7% and non‑GAAP EPS to $12.75–$13.05, with tariff headwinds ($45M gross) largely mitigated to ~$10M net via surcharges, cost actions, and FX tailwinds .
- Catalysts: elevated instrument replacement cycle, PFAS testing tailwinds (PFAS +90% y/y), India generics demand (~20% cc growth), and Empower–Wyatt MALS integration expanding biologics QC workflows .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Double‑digit instrument growth; LC/MS grew mid‑teens, with Alliance iS HPLC sales more than tripling y/y and Xevo TQ Absolute sales up >50%: “Our first‑quarter results exceeded expectations, driven by double‑digit instrument growth” and “Alliance iS … more than tripled …; Xevo TQ Absolute … sales growth of over 50%” .
- PFAS secular tailwind: PFAS‑related testing sales grew over 90%, with EPA regulation momentum; management stressed TQ Absolute’s sensitivity positioning Waters to capture rising demand .
- Estimates beat and guidance raise: non‑GAAP EPS $2.25 (high end) and revenue at high end of range, with FY25 cc sales growth and non‑GAAP EPS ranges raised .
What Went Wrong
- FX headwinds: non‑GAAP EPS growth of ~2% reported included ~5 ppts of FX headwind (company commentary in release) .
- Europe flat to slightly down and TA Instruments soft on timing/lumpiness (TA −1% reported, +1% cc); mgmt cited US TA order timing .
- U.S. Academic & Government derisked: proactively haircut ~$15M for rest of year (assumed −20%), a ~50 bps headwind to FY sales growth, albeit offset by ~50 bps tariff‑related pricing tailwind .
Financial Results
Key P&L vs Prior Quarters (oldest → newest)
Note: Gross margin for Q3/Q4 computed from reported net sales and cost of sales; Q1 gross margin cited by management .
Actual vs S&P Global Consensus – Q1 2025
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Product, Geography, and Market Mix – Q1 2025 (vs Q1 2024)
KPIs and Balance Sheet/Cash Flow Highlights
- Orders growth exceeded sales growth; non‑GAAP gross margin 58.2%; adjusted operating margin 25.5% .
- Free cash flow $233.8M (non‑GAAP) on CFO $259.6M and capex/software $(25.7)M .
- Net debt reduction ~$170M in Q1; net debt/EBITDA ~1x; strong liquidity to pursue M&A and potentially resume buybacks .
- Cash and equivalents $382.9M; Notes payable and debt $1.457B as of Mar 29, 2025 .
Non‑GAAP Adjustments – Q1 2025
- Adjustments include purchased intangibles amortization ($0.15 EPS), ERP implementation ($0.03), and Wyatt retention bonus ($0.03), among others .
Guidance Changes
Tariffs and U.S. policy offset: ~$45M gross tariff exposure largely mitigated to ~$10M net via ~$15M selective surcharges, ~$14M manufacturing cost actions, and ~$6M discretionary spend; most gross impact in 2H25; FX tailwinds offset residual EPS impact .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Double‑digit instrument growth drove our performance … mid‑teens sales growth in both liquid chromatography and mass spectrometry” .
- “PFAS‑related testing sales grew over 90% in the first quarter … LC‑MS has become the dominant workhorse technique for regulated analysis of these compounds” .
- “We are raising our full year … adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $12.75 to $13.05 … even after accounting for newly announced tariffs” .
- “Orders growth exceeded sales growth … Gross margin 58.2% and adjusted operating margin 25.5%” .
- “Net tariff impact … limited to a modest $10 million on our adjusted operating margin … roughly $15 million surcharges, $14 million manufacturing cost actions, $6 million discretionary spend” .
Q&A Highlights
- Replacement cycle and pharma mix: Large pharma, generics, and CDMOs (~75% of pharma) all grew double digits; no evidence of tariff‑related order pull‑forward .
- Pricing and surcharge acceptance: ~200 bps like‑for‑like pricing plus
50 bps tariff surcharges ($15M); 80–90% customer acceptance; minimal pushback . - Academic & Government derisking: U.S. A&G ~3% of revenue; assuming −20% for rest of year (−$15M) to prudently derisk .
- Supply chain/tariff mitigation: $45M gross impact concentrated in 2H25; stockpiling raised Q2 COGS mix; cost actions “landing” to offset in H2 and beyond .
- TA Instruments/services: TA lumpiness; battery testing strong; service growth impacted by two fewer days and lower third‑party parts purchases .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: EPS $2.25 vs $2.22*; revenue $661.7M vs $655.6M* — modest beats on both metrics . Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
- Street trajectory: Management’s raised FY25 guide (sales and EPS) suggests upward estimate revisions, aided by pricing, PFAS/India drivers, and tariff mitigation .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Cycle‑ and secular‑driven instrument strength: Replacement cycle plus PFAS/GLP‑1/India catalysts underpin high‑quality order momentum (orders > sales) and support sustained instrument outperformance .
- Pricing power intact: ~200 bps like‑for‑like pricing plus ~50 bps surcharge acceptance provides a durable lever against FX/tariffs, supporting margin resilience .
- Tariff risk largely neutralized for EPS: ~$45M gross impact mitigated to ~$10M net; FX tailwinds and surcharges offset EPS — reduces a key macro overhang .
- Recurring revenue steady despite fewer days; service initiatives (plan attachment, e‑commerce) and new consumables (bioseparations columns) buttress base .
- Biologics QC expansion: Empower–Wyatt MALS integration broadens CQAs and compresses validation cycles — a strategic wedge into regulated biologics QC .
- Balance sheet optionality: FCF $233.8M in Q1 and net leverage ~1x reopen capacity for targeted M&A and potential buyback resumption in 2025 .
- Near‑term watch items: Europe softness and TA lumpiness; U.S. A&G derisking; monitor Q2 gross margin mix (inventory/tariff timing) and the stick rate of surcharges .
Citations
- Q1’25 8‑K and press release details: revenue/EPS, guidance, segment/geography mix, non‑GAAP reconciliations, cash flow and balance sheet .
- Q1’25 call commentary: orders > sales, margins, pricing/surcharges, PFAS +90%, India ~20%, tariff mitigation, services/TA color .
- Prior quarters for trend: Q3’24 and Q4’24 press releases (revenue/EPS, segment trends) .
- Strategic press releases: Empower–Wyatt MALS integration (biologics QC) and TA launches (Apex 1; Smart‑Seal Pans) .
S&P Global estimate data marked with asterisk (*). Values retrieved from S&P Global.